505
ABNT20 KNHC 141122
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Aug 14 2026

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
A tropical wave located about 400 miles east of the Windward Islands
is producing gusty winds and a large area of showers and
thunderstorms. This system is moving into a region of increasing
upper-level winds and dry air, and the potential of development
continues to decrease. Even though development is unlikely, gusty
winds and areas of heavy rain are possible across portions of the
Lesser Antilles tonight and on Saturday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…20 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
A tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic, located more
than 1000 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands, continues to produce
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are
forecast to be generally conducive for gradual development, and a
tropical depression could form this weekend or early next week while
the wave moves westward or west-northwestward across the central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Adams

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