Perturbation INVEST 97L en 2025

000
ABNT20 KNHC 102340
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Aug 10 2025

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL97):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization
in association with a well-defined low pressure area located over
the eastern portion of the Cabo Verde Islands. Only a small
increase in the organization could lead to the formation of a
tropical depression as the low continues moving across the Cabo
Verde Islands tonight and on Monday. Regardless of development,
locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected to continue
tonight and Monday across the Cabo Verde Islands, and interests
there should monitor the progress of this system.

Even if a tropical depression does not form over the next day or so,
environmental conditions appear conducive for later development, and
a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form by the
middle to latter portion of this week while moving westward to
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…90 percent.

Central Atlantic (AL96):
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with
a trough of low pressure located over the central tropical
Atlantic. Some gradual development is possible during the middle
part of this week while the system moves northward over the central
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen

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