000
ABNT20 KNHC 271748
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jun 27 2022

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located about 700 miles east-southeast of the
southern Windward Islands is producing a large area of showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
development, and a tropical depression or a tropical storm is likely
to form during the next day or so before the system reaches the
Windward Islands Tuesday night or possibly while moving westward
across the southern Caribbean Sea Wednesday through Friday. A NOAA
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently investigating the system and
has found winds to tropical storm force. Interests in the Windward
Islands and along the northeastern coast of Venezuela should monitor
the progress of this system, and tropical storm watches or warnings
could be required for portions of these areas later today.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over
the Windward Islands and the northeastern coast of Venezuela Tuesday
night and Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent.

Northern Gulf of Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the north-central Gulf
of Mexico are associated with a trough of low pressure. Development
of this system is expected to be slow to occur while it moves
west-southwestward at about 10 mph toward the northwestern Gulf of
Mexico and approaches the coasts of southern Texas and northeastern
Mexico during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo
Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions could become conducive for gradual
development later this week while the system moves west-
northwestward at around 15 mph over the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch


Voir la version originale