Dépression tropicale THREE en 2025

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BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Three Intermediate Advisory Number 2A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032025
200 AM EDT Sat Jul 05 2025

…DEPRESSION MEANDERING OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST…
…FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY…


SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT…0600 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…30.6N 78.8W
ABOUT 165 MI…265 KM SSE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 255 MI…410 KM SSW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1010 MB…29.82 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Edisto Beach to Little River Inlet

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the southeast coast of the United States
should monitor the progress of this system. Additional warnings
and watches will likely be required for portions of this area
later today.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 200 AM EDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three
was located near latitude 30.6 North, longitude 78.8 West. The
depression has been nearly stationary tonight, but a slow motion
towards the north-northwest is expected to begin later today,
followed by a motion toward the north by the end of the day, and
then northeast by Sunday night. On the forecast track, the center of
the depression is expected to move near or over the coast of South
Carolina on Sunday morning.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected, and the system is
forecast to become a tropical storm later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure as measured by a recent ship
observation near the center is 1010 mb (29.82 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Tropical Depression Three can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO
header WTNT43 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area
beginning late today or early Sunday.

RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Three is expected to produce heavy
rainfall across portions of the coastal plain of the Carolinas
today through Monday. Storm total rainfall of 2 to 4 inches, with
local amounts to 6 inches, is expected. This would result in an
elevated risk for flash flooding.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Tropical Depression Three, please see the National
Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf

STORM SURGE: A storm surge of 1 to 2 ft above ground level could
occur along the coast in the tropical storm watch area in areas of
onshore flow.

SURF: The depression is expected to bring rough surf and rip
currents to much of the southeastern United States coastline north
of northeastern Florida during the next couple of days.

A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/?ripCurrents#contents


NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Papin

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