Tropical Storm Laura # 8 - August 21, 2020 - 14:00 AM UTC

From this morning, on the infra red satellite loops, a doubt began to take shape about its position. A winding seemed to establish itself to the SE of the most active convection zone. It was only a visual impression, so rarely relevant, but looking at the image now makes a lot of sense.

 

Relocating further south does not have enormous effects compared to what was envisaged and especially none compared to satellite imagery which of course does not change with wind and strong convection always in the same areas. , or north of this new center. On the other hand, it could have a lot of consequences for the following days: its trajectory could be largely revised by the models and this center further south seems in an area more conducive to a little faster reinforcement and the area of ​​the Virgin Islands and from Puerto Rico would be well advised to be very careful.

 

Regarding the West Indies and given the proximity, we can already say that it will start very quickly (Guadeloupe is already affected by a very active convection zone) for rain and thunderstorms and that the center of the arc could be more affected by these stormy conditions. For the Northern Islands, conditions should be close to what Météo France announced, but everything depends on the current trajectory which is not very clear. A full westerly course could bring stronger winds than expected later in the day and evening with gusts that can exceed 40 kts.